First Mover Americas: Following the US Jobs Report, Bitcoin’s Rally Loses Steam

    • Price Point: Bitcoin fell as the U.S. jobs report showed hiring accelerated in July from June.
    • Market Moves: Omkar Godbole reports on Flow token’s price rally of 40% and how the surge is related to Meta Platform’s decision to use the blockchain to expand its non-fungible tokens (NFTs) initiative.
    • Chart of The Day: Bitcoin’s put-call skew continues to drift lower, indicating a weakening of bearish sentiment.

    Price point

    Gains early Friday in bitcoin (BTC) appeared to reverse after the Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 528,000 jobs in July, double the number economists had forecast.

    The report may mean the Federal Reserve will be more aggressive in its efforts to tamp down inflation, which is at a four-decade high. Hawkish moves by the central bank tend to depress prices of risky assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.

    CoinDesk - Unknown
    Thirty-minute BTC chart (TradingView)

    The jobs report came at the end of a slow week in crypto that nevertheless brought signs of growing institutional adoption. Asset manager Brevan Howard pulled off the largest crypto hedge fund launch ever, with more than $1 billion in assets under management, and BlackRock formed a partnership with crypto exchange Coinbase to make crypto directly available to institutional investors. Coinbase’s shares closed 10% higher on Thursday after jumping almost 40% intraday.

    Derivatives giant Chicago Mercantile Exchange announced on Thursday that it will roll out bitcoin euro and ether euro futures contracts on Aug. 29, pending regulatory approval.

    Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, appeared to be fairly unaffected by the positive news this week. It has been trading in a range of $22,900 to $24,500 over the last seven days and lost 3% during that period.

    Ether (ETH) was down 3.4% on the week, amid concerns over the Ethereum network’s upcoming Merge. The Merge is set to take place in September. The planned shift to a proof-of-stake network will have a number of consequences, Citigroup said in a research report Thursday, including lower energy intensity, the transition of ether into a deflationary asset and a “potential road map to a more scalable future through sharding.”

    Altcoins had a positive week with Filecoin taking the lead with a 40% gain. Fantom’s FTM was up 14%, and near, the token of the Near platform, jumped 11%.

    Biggest Gainers

    AssetTickerReturnsDACS Sector
    LoopringLRC+4.4%Smart Contract Platform
    AvalancheAVAX+3.5%Smart Contract Platform

    Biggest Losers

    AssetTickerReturnsDACS Sector
    TerraLUNA−1.9%Smart Contract Platform

    Market Moves

    By Omkar Godbole

    The token of the Flow blockchain surged over 35% in the wake of Facebook parent Meta Platform’s decision to use the blockchain to expand its NFT initiative.

    CoinDesk data shows FLOW rose 38% to $2.62 in the past 24 hours and went as high as $2.84, which was its highest price since May 31.

    The token surged after Meta announced the international expansion of its recently tested digital collectibles feature on its photo and video-sharing platform Instagram and declared support for NFTs created on the Flow blockchain.

    Meta also announced support for Coinbase wallet and Dapper wallet as third-party wallets compatible for use as part of its expansion plan.

    The Flow blockchain was created by Dapper Labs and is best known for a NFT hit NBA Top Shot. In May, Dapper Labs unveiled a $725 million fund to boost “gaming, infrastructure, decentralized finance, content and creators” in the Flow ecosystem.

    The Flow token’s price rally is backed by a triple-digit jump in futures open interest across major exchanges, including Binance, according to data tracked by Coinglass. Open interest refers to the number of contracts traded but not squared off with an offsetting position.

    CoinDesk - Unknown
    Total FLOW futures open interest (Coinglass)

    An increase in open interest means more money is being deployed in the FLOW market and validates the price rally.

    FLOW has topped its 100-day simple moving average (SMA), leaving both bitcoin and ether behind, which continue to trade below the key SMA. The bigger downtrend, however, is still intact as seen in the chart below.

    CoinDesk - Unknown
    FLOW/tetherUS (TradingView)

    Chart of the Day: Bitcoin’s Put-Call Skew Continues to Drift Lower

    By Omkar Godbole

    CoinDesk - Unknown
    BTC’s 90-day put-call skew (Laevitas)
    • The 90-day put-call skew, which measures the difference between prices paid for puts relative to calls, continues to decline, indicating a weakening of bearish sentiment.
    • According to data tracked by crypto analytics platform Genesis Volatility, call options or bullish bets have been in demand this week.
    • “Both short-dated and long dated BTC calls bought outright with relatively cheap volatility,” Genesis Volatility said in a market update published Thursday.

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